Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1625 to 1.1617, down 0.07%
Market Energy Neutral -14.3% to Bear Bias -40.0%, down 25.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.04%0.02%0.07%
Energy6.038.49.925.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.04% 0.02% 0.07% 6.0 38.4 9.9 25.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 25.7 pts — higher than 85% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURUSD 1H

Sample: 72,810 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,541 times

When EURUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,871 times69.9%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,670 times30.1%

Current EURUSD market energy: -40.04%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 19.16%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 19.96%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-14.3%
Neutral
-40.0%
Bear Bias
-33.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURUSD classified into the energy level leaning Bear after the 1H candle completed.

Observing the EURUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -25.7% this candle, currently -40% (previous candle -14.3%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.5 to +76.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1617, down 0.07% from the previous candle (1.1625). Market Energy was -40%, down 25.7 points from -14.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1617, down 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (1.1625). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 47,841 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 25.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.3% to -40%. This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at -14.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, EURUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -40%, EURUSD is 19.16 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 19.96 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -17.9%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bear Bias, -40%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.1%. EURUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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