Analysis

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Price and energy
EURUSD from 1.1529 to 1.1525, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.2% to Bull Critical 67.9%, down 2.4 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.04%0.02%0.04%
Energy3.42.12.72.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.04% 0.02% 0.04% 3.4 2.1 2.7 2.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.4 pts — higher than 21% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical EURUSD 1H

Sample: 72,921 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 2,078 times

When EURUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then EURUSD moved to higher Market State: 595 times28.6%
  • then EURUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,483 times71.4%

Current EURUSD market energy: 67.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 6.61%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.89%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

EURUSD · H1 · 2026-07-30 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
70.2%
Bull Critical
67.9%
Bull Critical
67.0%
Bull Critical
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, EURUSD currently in the near-extreme Bull energy level.

End-of-session energy readings on 1H, Market Energy dropped -2.4% from the previous candle, from 70.2% to 67.9%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURUSD Market Energy ranged from -78.2 to +95.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 04:00 on 31-07-2026 closed, EURUSD was at 1.1525, down 0.04% from the previous candle (1.1529). Market Energy was 67.9%, down 2.4 points from 70.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did EURUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURUSD closed at 1.1525, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (1.1529). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD, across 47,229 candles since 2019.

How did EURUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.2% to 67.9%. This drop is larger than 21% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURUSD.

Do EURUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURUSD at 70.2%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.9%, EURUSD is 6.61 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.89 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.7%. Against this backdrop, EURUSD (Bull Critical, 67.9%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -86.9%. EURUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURUSD on the EURUSD overview →

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