Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURNZD from 2.0063 to 2.0054, down 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Critical -69.8% to Bear Critical -72.8%, down 3.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.06%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.04%
Energy▲ 29.5▼ 26.3▼ 49.4▼ 3.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.06%▼ 0.09%▼ 0.06%▼ 0.04%▲ 29.5▼ 26.3▼ 49.4▼ 3.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.0 pts — higher than 20% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURNZD 1H

Sample: 57,960 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,664 times

▸When EURNZD is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 1,241 times — 74.6%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 423 times — 25.4%

▸Current EURNZD market energy: -72.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.78%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.72%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · H1 · 2026-10-02 03:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-69.8%
Bear Critical
-72.8%
Bear Critical
Expected at
12:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market EURNZD in the Bear Critical zone.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -3% this candle, currently -72.8% (previous candle -69.8%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from -83.3 to +71.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 10:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, EURNZD was at 2.0054, down 0.04% from the previous candle (2.0063). Market Energy was -72.8%, down 3.0 points from -69.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 2.0054, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (2.0063). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURNZD, across 48,256 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -69.8% to -72.8%. This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for EURNZD.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had EURNZD at -69.8%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.8%, EURNZD is 12.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.72 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 48.3%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Bear Critical, -72.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 36%. EURNZD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

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