Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
EURNZD from 2.0103 to 2.0081, down 0.11%
Market Energy Bull Bias 30.1% to Neutral 15.5%, down 14.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.23%▲ 0.14%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.11%
Energy▼ 12.8▲ 0.0▼ 0.6▼ 14.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.23%▲ 0.14%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.11%▼ 12.8▲ 0.0▼ 0.6▼ 14.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 29% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.6 pts — higher than 62% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral EURNZD Daily

Sample: 4,027 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-30
Number of Neutral occurrences: 440 times

▸When EURNZD is in Neutral:

  • then EURNZD moved to higher Market State: 209 times — 47.5%
  • then EURNZD moved to lower Market State: 231 times — 52.5%

▸Current EURNZD market energy: 15.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 36.39%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURNZD · D1 · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
30.1%
Bull Bias
15.5%
Neutral
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the Daily candle closes, EURNZD currently in the neutral Bull/Bear zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy dropped -14.6% from the previous session, from 30.1% to 15.5%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURNZD Market Energy ranged from +15.5 to +43.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURNZD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, EURNZD was at 2.0081, down 0.11% from the previous candle (2.0103). Market Energy was 15.5%, down 14.6 points from 30.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did EURNZD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

EURNZD closed at 2.0081, down 0.11% from the previous Daily candle (2.0103). This drop is larger than 29% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURNZD, across 2,421 candles since 2019.

How did EURNZD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.1% to 15.5%. This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for EURNZD.

Do EURNZD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURNZD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had EURNZD at 30.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURNZD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does EURNZD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 15.5%, EURNZD is 5.37 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 36.39 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -8.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.3%. Against this backdrop, EURNZD (Neutral, 15.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.3%. EURNZD energy is currently below DXY by 55.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURNZD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURNZD on the EURNZD overview →

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