Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURJPY from 177.6355 to 177.2695, down 0.21%
Market Energy Bear Critical -73.8% to Bear Extreme -78.3%, down 4.5 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.37%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.21%
Energy▲ 12.5▲ 6.6▲ 2.2▼ 4.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.37%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.21%▲ 12.5▲ 6.6▲ 2.2▼ 4.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.21% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.5 pts — higher than 23% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURJPY 4H

Sample: 18,283 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-02
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 653 times

▸When EURJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURJPY moved to higher Market State: 653 times — 100%
  • then EURJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURJPY market energy: -78.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.83%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 21.67%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

EURJPY · H4 · 2026-10-02 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-73.8%
Bear Critical
-78.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, EURJPY reflects Bear in Extreme state.

Market energy measurement Compared to the previous candle (-73.8%), Market Energy dropped -4.5% to -78.3%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURJPY Market Energy ranged from -95.1 to +90.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, EURJPY was at 177.2695, down 0.21% from the previous candle (177.6355). Market Energy was -78.3%, down 4.5 points from -73.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURJPY closed at 177.2695, down 0.21% from the previous 4H candle (177.6355). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURJPY, across 12,075 candles since 2019.

How did EURJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73.8% to -78.3%. This drop is larger than 23% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURJPY.

Do EURJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURJPY at -73.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, EURJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -78.3%, EURJPY is 3.83 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 21.67 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.3%. Against this backdrop, EURJPY (Bear Extreme, -78.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.8%. EURJPY energy is currently below DXY by 75.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURJPY on the EURJPY overview →

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