Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURAUD from 1.6229 to 1.6208, down 0.13%
Market Energy Bear Critical -72.2% to Bear Extreme -83.3%, down 11.1 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.08%▲ 0.12%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.13%
Energy▼ 3.3▲ 11.1▲ 5.7▼ 11.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.08%▲ 0.12%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.13%▼ 3.3▲ 11.1▲ 5.7▼ 11.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.13% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.1 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURAUD 4H

Sample: 304 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 5 times

▸When EURAUD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURAUD moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 100%
  • then EURAUD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURAUD market energy: -83.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16.72%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURAUD · H4 · 2026-10-02 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURAUD chart →
Market Energy
-72.2%
Bear Critical
-83.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURAUD processing result: the extreme Bear energy state after the 4H candle closed.

Observing the EURAUD market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -11.1%, moving from -72.2% to -83.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURAUD Market Energy ranged from -89.1 to +84.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURAUD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, EURAUD was at 1.6208, down 0.13% from the previous candle (1.6229). Market Energy was -83.3%, down 11.1 points from -72.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURAUD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURAUD closed at 1.6208, down 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (1.6229). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURAUD, across 308 candles since 2019.

How did EURAUD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -72.2% to -83.3%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURAUD.

Do EURAUD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURAUD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURAUD at -72.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, EURAUD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURAUD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -83.3%, EURAUD is 8.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.3%. Against this backdrop, EURAUD (Bear Extreme, -83.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.8%. EURAUD energy is currently below DXY by 80.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURAUD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURAUD on the EURAUD overview →

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