Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURJPY from 178.163 to 178.3695, up 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -84.2% to Bear Extreme -75.2%, up 9.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.22%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.12%
Energy▼ 11.7▼ 8.2▼ 13.9▲ 9.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.22%▼ 0.04%▼ 0.18%▲ 0.12%▼ 11.7▼ 8.2▼ 13.9▲ 9.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.12% — higher than 56% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.0 pts — higher than 41% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURJPY 4H

Sample: 18,265 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 651 times

▸When EURJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURJPY moved to higher Market State: 651 times — 100%
  • then EURJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURJPY market energy: -75.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 0.73%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.77%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

EURJPY · H4 · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-84.2%
Bear Extreme
-75.2%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, EURJPY classified as the Bear Extreme measurement.

At the 4H session close, The energy level rose +9%: from -84.2% now at -75.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURJPY Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +89.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, EURJPY was at 178.3695, up 0.12% from the previous candle (178.163). Market Energy was -75.2%, up 9.0 points from -84.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURJPY closed at 178.3695, up 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (178.163). This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURJPY, across 12,060 candles since 2019.

How did EURJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -84.2% to -75.2%. This rise is larger than 41% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURJPY.

Do EURJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURJPY at -84.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.2%, EURJPY is 0.73 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.77 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.1%. Against this backdrop, EURJPY (Bear Extreme, -75.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 91.1%. EURJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURJPY on the EURJPY overview →

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