Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
CHFJPY from 188.416 to 188.5815, up 0.09%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -84.2% to Bear Extreme -76.8%, up 7.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.19%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.16%▲ 0.09%
Energy▼ 14.0▲ 8.7▼ 4.5▲ 7.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.19%▲ 0.03%▼ 0.16%▲ 0.09%▼ 14.0▲ 8.7▼ 4.5▲ 7.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.09% — higher than 55% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.4 pts — higher than 46% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme CHFJPY 4H

Sample: 289 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 9 times

▸When CHFJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 9 times — 100%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current CHFJPY market energy: -76.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.32%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.18%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H4 · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-84.2%
Bear Extreme
-76.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, CHFJPY noted at the peak Bear energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Energy delta +7.4%: Market Energy at -76.8%, previously -84.2%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 4 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -95 to -9.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 188.5815, up 0.09% from the previous candle (188.416). Market Energy was -76.8%, up 7.4 points from -84.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 188.5815, up 0.09% from the previous 4H candle (188.416). This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 290 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -84.2% to -76.8%. This rise is larger than 46% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CHFJPY at -84.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.8%, CHFJPY is 2.32 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.18 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -93.1%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Extreme, -76.8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 91.1%. CHFJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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