Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURJPY from 179.649 to 178.488, down 0.65%
Market Energy Bear Bias -38.3% to Bear Extreme -87.8%, down 49.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.65%
Energy▼ 0.8▲ 21.8▲ 36.3▼ 49.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 0.28%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.65%▼ 0.8▲ 21.8▲ 36.3▼ 49.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.65% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 49.5 pts — higher than 90% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURJPY 4H

Sample: 18,258 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-27
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 649 times

▸When EURJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURJPY moved to higher Market State: 649 times — 100%
  • then EURJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURJPY market energy: -87.76%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 13.26%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 12.24%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

EURJPY · H4 · 2026-09-28 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-38.3%
Bear Bias
-87.8%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

EURJPY classified into the Bear Extreme reading after the 4H candle completed.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -49.5% from the previous candle, from -38.3% to -87.8%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURJPY Market Energy ranged from -96.4 to +89.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, EURJPY was at 178.488, down 0.65% from the previous candle (179.649). Market Energy was -87.8%, down 49.5 points from -38.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURJPY closed at 178.488, down 0.65% from the previous 4H candle (179.649). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURJPY, across 12,051 candles since 2019.

How did EURJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 49.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -38.3% to -87.8%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURJPY.

Do EURJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURJPY at -38.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, EURJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -87.8%, EURJPY is 13.26 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 12.24 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.2%. Against this backdrop, EURJPY (Bear Extreme, -87.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.1%. EURJPY energy is currently below DXY by 95.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURJPY on the EURJPY overview →

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