Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
CADJPY from 111.491 to 110.8365, down 0.59%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -74.9% to Bear Extreme -82.0%, down 7.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.11%▲ 0.22%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.59%
Energy▲ 4.5▲ 9.6▲ 9.9▼ 7.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.11%▲ 0.22%▲ 0.02%▼ 0.59%▲ 4.5▲ 9.6▲ 9.9▼ 7.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.59% — higher than 94% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.2 pts — higher than 43% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme CADJPY 4H

Sample: 282 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 10 times

▸When CADJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then CADJPY moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 100%
  • then CADJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current CADJPY market energy: -82.02%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.52%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 17.98%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

CADJPY · H4 · 2026-09-28 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-74.9%
Bear Extreme
-82.0%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

CADJPY classified into the peak Bear energy zone after the 4H candle completed.

Meanwhile, Market Energy dropped -7.2% from the previous session, from -74.9% to -82%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 6 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CADJPY Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +80.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CADJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, CADJPY was at 110.8365, down 0.59% from the previous candle (111.491). Market Energy was -82%, down 7.2 points from -74.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did CADJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CADJPY closed at 110.8365, down 0.59% from the previous 4H candle (111.491). This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY, across 284 candles since 2019.

How did CADJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -74.9% to -82%. This drop is larger than 43% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CADJPY.

Do CADJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was CADJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CADJPY at -74.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does CADJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -82%, CADJPY is 7.52 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 17.98 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -65.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -40.2%. Against this backdrop, CADJPY (Bear Extreme, -82%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 8.1%. CADJPY energy is currently below DXY by 90.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CADJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CADJPY on the CADJPY overview →

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