Analysis

EURGBP 0.83847 ↑0.01%: Bears very strong · 4H 00:00 Oct 22, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.83836 · High 0.83906 · Low 0.83795 · Close 0.83847 · Range (high − low) 0.00111
EURGBP closed at 0.83847, up 0.00012 (+0.01%) from 0.83835.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -81.1% to Bear Critical at -66.9%, up 14.1 points.
Second straight up candle, price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.839310.837440.838350.83847
Energy-79.2%-93.2%-81.1%-66.9%
Price change↓ 0.02%↓ 0.22%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.01%
Energy change↓ 7.5↓ 14.0↑ 12.2↑ 14.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.02%↓ 0.22%↑ 0.11%↑ 0.01%↓ 7.5↓ 14.0↑ 12.2↑ 14.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.01% — higher than 26% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 14.1 pts — higher than 68% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURGBP 4H

Sample: 386 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 17 times

▸When EURGBP is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURGBP moved to higher Market State: 11 times — 64.7%
  • then EURGBP moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 35.3%

▸Current EURGBP market energy: -66.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.95%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.55%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

EURGBP · H4 · 2026-10-21 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURGBP chart →
Market Energy
-81.1%
Bear Extreme
-66.9%
Bear Critical
-62.3%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, EURGBP in the near-peak Bear energy state.

Market trend energy Market Energy rose +14.1% this candle, currently -66.9% (previous candle -81.1%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURGBP Market Energy ranged from -96.3 to 51.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURGBP price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 21-10-2026, EURGBP was at 0.83847, up 0.01% from the previous candle (0.83835). Market Energy was -66.9%, up 14.1 points from -81.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURGBP price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURGBP closed at 0.83847, up 0.01% from the previous 4H candle (0.83835). This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP, across 388 candles since 2019.

How did EURGBP Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 14.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.1% to -66.9%. This rise is larger than 68% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP.

Do EURGBP price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURGBP in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURGBP at -81.1%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, EURGBP moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does EURGBP energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.9%, EURGBP is 6.95 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.55 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98.5%. Against this backdrop, EURGBP (Bear Critical, -66.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -32.4%. EURGBP (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURGBP.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURGBP on the EURGBP overview →

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