Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
EURGBP from 0.85782 to 0.85682, down 0.12%
Market Energy Bear Bias -50.9% to Bear Bias -59.7%, down 8.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.12%
Energy▲ 14.5▼ 12.6▲ 12.9▼ 8.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▼ 0.12%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.12%▲ 14.5▼ 12.6▲ 12.9▼ 8.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.8 pts — higher than 44% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURGBP 4H

Sample: 290 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 17 times

▸When EURGBP is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURGBP moved to higher Market State: 11 times — 64.7%
  • then EURGBP moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 35.3%

▸Current EURGBP market energy: -59.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 38.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 0.31%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

EURGBP · H4 · 2026-09-29 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-50.9%
Bear Bias
-59.7%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, Market EURGBP in the Bear Bias level.

The market energy reading Market Energy reading dropped -8.8%, moving from -50.9% to -59.7% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURGBP Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +66.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURGBP price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, EURGBP was at 0.85682, down 0.12% from the previous candle (0.85782). Market Energy was -59.7%, down 8.8 points from -50.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURGBP price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURGBP closed at 0.85682, down 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (0.85782). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP, across 292 candles since 2019.

How did EURGBP Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -50.9% to -59.7%. This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURGBP.

Do EURGBP price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURGBP in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURGBP at -50.9%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does EURGBP energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -59.7%, EURGBP is 38.81 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 0.31 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.7%. Against this backdrop, EURGBP (Bear Bias, -59.7%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 64.6%. EURGBP (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURGBP.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURGBP on the EURGBP overview →

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