Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,724 to 8,674 points, down 0.57%
Market Energy Bull Bias 53.9% to Bear Bias -30.1%, down 84.0 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.17%▲ 0.56%▲ 0.08%▼ 0.57%
Energy▼ 22.1▲ 41.3▲ 28.1▼ 84.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.17%▲ 0.56%▲ 0.08%▼ 0.57%▼ 22.1▲ 41.3▲ 28.1▼ 84.0
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.57% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 84.0 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 244 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 23 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bear Bias:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 12 times — 52.2%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 11 times — 47.8%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: -30.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.88%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-09-29 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live AUS200 chart →
Market Energy
53.9%
Bull Bias
-30.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded AUS200 Index in trend energy leaning Bear after the 4H candle closed.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, Compared to the previous candle (53.9%), Market Energy dropped -84% to -30.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -56.1 to +53.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,674, down 0.57% from the previous candle (8,724). Market Energy was -30.1%, down 84.0 points from 53.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,674, down 0.57% from the previous 4H candle (8,724). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 243 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 84 percentage points from the previous candle — from 53.9% to -30.1%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at 53.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.1%, AUS200 Index is 9.24 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.88 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.7%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bear Bias, -30.1%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 64.6%. AUS200 Index (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .