Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUS200 Index from 8,800.5 to 8,773.5 points, down 0.31%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 87.4% to Bull Critical 63.8%, down 23.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.01%▲ 0.28%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.31%
Energy▼ 5.3▲ 25.7▲ 10.6▼ 23.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.01%▲ 0.28%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.31%▼ 5.3▲ 25.7▲ 10.6▼ 23.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.31% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 23.6 pts — higher than 69% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AUS200 Index 4H

Sample: 230 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 13 times

▸When AUS200 Index is in Bull Critical:

  • then AUS200 Index moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 38.5%
  • then AUS200 Index moved to lower Market State: 8 times — 61.5%

▸Current AUS200 Index market energy: 63.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 3.79%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

AUS200 · H4 · 2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
87.4%
Bull Extreme
63.8%
Bull Critical
40.2%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The near-peak Bull energy state recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for AUS200 Index.

Market energy movement Energy delta -23.6%: Market Energy at 63.8%, previously 87.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUS200 Index Market Energy ranged from -86.7 to +87.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUS200 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, AUS200 Index was at 8,773.5, down 0.31% from the previous candle (8,800.5). Market Energy was 63.8%, down 23.6 points from 87.4%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AUS200 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUS200 closed at 8,773.5, down 0.31% from the previous 4H candle (8,800.5). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200, across 218 candles since 2019.

How did AUS200 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 23.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87.4% to 63.8%. This drop is larger than 69% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUS200.

Do AUS200 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUS200 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUS200 Index at 87.4%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, AUS200 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does AUS200 Index energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 63.8%, AUS200 Index is 10.71 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 3.79 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 15.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.7%. Against this backdrop, AUS200 Index (Bull Critical, 63.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 13.4%. AUS200 Index energy is currently above DXY by 50.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUS200 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUS200 on the AUS200 Index overview →

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