Analysis

EURCHF 0.92829 ↑0.06%: Bears very strong · 4H 08:00 Oct 16, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.92802 · High 0.92836 · Low 0.92701 · Close 0.92829 · Range (high − low) 0.001355
EURCHF closed at 0.92829, up 0.0006 (+0.06%) from 0.92769.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -81.9% to Bear Critical at -71.1%, up 10.8 points.
Price and energy are moving up together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.929910.92850.927690.92829
Energy-54.6%-76.9%-81.9%-71.1%
Price change↓ 0.07%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.09%↑ 0.06%
Energy change↓ 15.0↓ 22.3↓ 5.0↑ 10.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.07%↓ 0.15%↓ 0.09%↑ 0.06%↓ 15.0↓ 22.3↓ 5.0↑ 10.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.06% — higher than 65% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.8 pts — higher than 55% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical EURCHF 4H

Sample: 362 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 12 times

▸When EURCHF is in Bear Critical:

  • then EURCHF moved to higher Market State: 10 times — 83.3%
  • then EURCHF moved to lower Market State: 2 times — 16.7%

▸Current EURCHF market energy: -71.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 11.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.35%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

EURCHF · H4 · 2026-10-15 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURCHF chart →
Market Energy
-81.9%
Bear Extreme
-71.1%
Bear Critical
-62.5%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, EURCHF classified as the Bear Critical level.

Meanwhile, Market Energy rose +10.8% from the previous candle, from -81.9% to -71.1%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCHF Market Energy ranged from -81.9 to 72.6.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 08:00 on 16-10-2026, EURCHF was at 0.92829, up 0.06% from the previous candle (0.92769). Market Energy was -71.1%, up 10.8 points from -81.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did EURCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCHF closed at 0.92829, up 0.06% from the previous 4H candle (0.92769). This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF, across 356 candles since 2019.

How did EURCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -81.9% to -71.1%. This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF.

Do EURCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCHF at -81.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, EURCHF moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does EURCHF energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -71.1%, EURCHF is 11.15 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.35 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.2%. Against this backdrop, EURCHF (Bear Critical, -71.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -53.6%. EURCHF (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCHF on the EURCHF overview →

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