Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURCHF from 0.93625 to 0.933, down 0.35%
Market Energy Bull Critical 73.4% to Bear Bias -34.5%, down 107.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.06%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.35%
Energy▲ 4.1▼ 4.5▼ 4.6▼ 107.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.06%▼ 0.01%▼ 0.02%▼ 0.35%▲ 4.1▼ 4.5▼ 4.6▼ 107.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 96% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 107.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias EURCHF 4H

Sample: 316 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 12 times

▸When EURCHF is in Bear Bias:

  • then EURCHF moved to higher Market State: 8 times — 66.7%
  • then EURCHF moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 33.3%

▸Current EURCHF market energy: -34.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.64%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.48%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

EURCHF · H4 · 2026-10-07 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live EURCHF chart →
Market Energy
73.4%
Bull Critical
-34.5%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, Market EURCHF in trend energy leaning Bear.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -107.9% this candle, currently -34.5% (previous candle 73.4%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCHF Market Energy ranged from -94.7 to +83.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCHF price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, EURCHF was at 0.933, down 0.35% from the previous candle (0.93625). Market Energy was -34.5%, down 107.9 points from 73.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did EURCHF price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCHF closed at 0.933, down 0.35% from the previous 4H candle (0.93625). This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF, across 316 candles since 2019.

How did EURCHF Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 107.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 73.4% to -34.5%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCHF on record since 2019.

Do EURCHF price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was EURCHF in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCHF at 73.4%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, EURCHF moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does EURCHF energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -34.5%, EURCHF is 13.64 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 25.48 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.8%. Against this backdrop, EURCHF (Bear Bias, -34.5%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.1%. EURCHF (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCHF.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCHF on the EURCHF overview →

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