Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
CHFJPY from 190.076 to 189.85, down 0.12%
Market Energy Neutral 11.7% to Bear Bias -23.2%, down 34.9 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.07%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.12%
Energy▼ 8.1▲ 6.9▼ 10.0▼ 34.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.07%▲ 0.11%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.12%▼ 8.1▲ 6.9▼ 10.0▼ 34.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 34.9 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias CHFJPY 4H

Sample: 323 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 22 times

▸When CHFJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 68.2%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 31.8%

▸Current CHFJPY market energy: -23.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 2.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 36.79%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H4 · 2026-10-07 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
11.7%
Neutral
-23.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, CHFJPY shows the energy state leaning Bear.

Market energy measurement A -34.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -23.2% (previous: 11.7%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -23.2 to +60.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 189.85, down 0.12% from the previous candle (190.076). Market Energy was -23.2%, down 34.9 points from 11.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 189.85, down 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (190.076). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 322 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 34.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 11.7% to -23.2%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CHFJPY at 11.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, CHFJPY moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -23.2%, CHFJPY is 2.33 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 36.79 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.8%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Bias, -23.2%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 72.1%. CHFJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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