Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
EURCAD from 1.6125 to 1.6085, down 0.25%
Market Energy Bull Bias 44.6% to Bear Extreme -77.9%, down 122.5 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.25%
Energy▲ 20.1▲ 11.6▼ 8.8▼ 122.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▲ 0.05%▼ 0.05%▼ 0.25%▲ 20.1▲ 11.6▼ 8.8▼ 122.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.25% — higher than 98% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 122.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme EURCAD 4H

Sample: 300 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 8 times

▸When EURCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then EURCAD moved to higher Market State: 8 times — 100%
  • then EURCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current EURCAD market energy: -77.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 3.43%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.07%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

EURCAD · H4 · 2026-10-01 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
44.6%
Bull Bias
-77.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, Result for EURCAD: the Bear Extreme reading.

On the energy side, Compared to the previous candle (44.6%), Market Energy dropped -122.5% to -77.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, EURCAD Market Energy ranged from -93.4 to +53.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did EURCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, EURCAD was at 1.6085, down 0.25% from the previous candle (1.6125). Market Energy was -77.9%, down 122.5 points from 44.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did EURCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

EURCAD closed at 1.6085, down 0.25% from the previous 4H candle (1.6125). This drop is larger than 98% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCAD, across 300 candles since 2019.

How did EURCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 122.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 44.6% to -77.9%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for EURCAD on record since 2019.

Do EURCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was EURCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had EURCAD at 44.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, EURCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does EURCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.9%, EURCAD is 3.43 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.07 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 96.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -6.1%. Against this backdrop, EURCAD (Bear Extreme, -77.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 95.8%. EURCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for EURCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for EURCAD on the EURCAD overview →

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