Analysis

ETHUSD 2,395.04 ↑0.03%: Bears have the edge · 4H 03:00 Oct 20, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2,394.28 · High 2,408.24 · Low 2,387.59 · Close 2,395.04 · Range (high − low) 20.65
ETHUSD closed at 2,395.04, up 0.75 (+0.03%) from 2,394.29.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -35.3% to Bear Bias at -47.5%, down 12.3 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,430.92,4202,394.32,395
Energy37.7%24.2%-35.3%-47.5%
Price change↑ 0.26%↓ 0.45%↓ 1.06%↑ 0.03%
Energy change↑ 5.4↓ 13.5↓ 59.5↓ 12.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.26%↓ 0.45%↓ 1.06%↑ 0.03%↑ 5.4↓ 13.5↓ 59.5↓ 12.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 3% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.3 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 20,089 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,510 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 993 times — 65.8%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 517 times — 34.2%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: -47.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 26.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 12.46%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-10-19 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
-35.3%
Bear Bias
-47.5%
Bear Bias
-37.3%
Bear Bias
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, ETHUSD within the Bear Bias energy zone.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy at -47.5%, down -12.3% from -35.3% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.4 to 66.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 19-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,395.04, up 0.03% from the previous candle (2,394.29). Market Energy was -47.5%, down 12.3 points from -35.3%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,395.04, up 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (2,394.29). This rise is larger than 3% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 17,089 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -35.3% to -47.5%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -35.3%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -47.5%, ETHUSD is 26.66 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 12.46 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 31.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.8%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Bias, -47.5%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 48.7%. ETHUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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