Analysis

ETHUSD 2,477.54 ↓0.46%: Bears very strong · 4H 03:00 Oct 10, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 2,489.02 · High 2,499.14 · Low 2,474.34 · Close 2,477.54 · Range (high − low) 24.8
ETHUSD closed at 2,477.54, down 11.49 (-0.46%) from 2,489.03.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -59.0% to Bear Critical at -64.8%, down 5.8 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,504.52,506.62,4892,477.5
Energy-68.2%-58.3%-59.0%-64.8%
Price change↑ 0.43%↑ 0.08%↓ 0.70%↓ 0.46%
Energy change↑ 9.7↑ 10.0↓ 0.7↓ 5.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.43%↑ 0.08%↓ 0.70%↓ 0.46%↑ 9.7↑ 10.0↓ 0.7↓ 5.8
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.46% — higher than 40% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.8 pts — higher than 35% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 20,088 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 881 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 642 times — 72.9%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 239 times — 27.1%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: -64.81%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 9.69%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
-59.0%
Bear Bias
-64.8%
Bear Critical
-61.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD noted at Bear energy near extreme.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -5.8%, moving from -59% to -64.8% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.3 to 64.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 03:00 on 09-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,477.54, down 0.46% from the previous candle (2,489.03). Market Energy was -64.8%, down 5.8 points from -59%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,477.54, down 0.46% from the previous 4H candle (2,489.03). This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 17,029 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from -59% to -64.8%. This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -59%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -64.8%, ETHUSD is 4.81 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 9.69 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.8%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Critical, -64.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 74.8%. ETHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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