Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,726.94 to 2,716.16, down 0.40%
Market Energy Bull Critical 64.3% to Bull Bias 43.8%, down 20.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.04%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.94%▼ 0.40%
Energy▼ 5.5▲ 4.7▲ 69.9▼ 20.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.04%▲ 0.10%▲ 0.94%▼ 0.40%▼ 5.5▲ 4.7▲ 69.9▼ 20.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.40% — higher than 35% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.5 pts — higher than 75% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,999 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-10-04
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,624 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 625 times — 38.5%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 999 times — 61.5%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 43.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 16.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 22.94%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
64.3%
Bull Critical
43.8%
Bull Bias
Expected at
15:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, ETHUSD reflects the energy state tilted toward Bull.

Market energy measurement The energy level dropped -20.5%: from 64.3% now at 43.8%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.1 to +64.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 05-10-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,716.16, down 0.4% from the previous candle (2,726.94). Market Energy was 43.8%, down 20.5 points from 64.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,716.16, down 0.4% from the previous 4H candle (2,726.94). This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 17,001 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 64.3% to 43.8%. This drop is larger than 75% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 64.3%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 43.8%, ETHUSD is 16.18 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 22.94 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 43.8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -14.7%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 58.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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