Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,732.47 to 2,674.17, down 2.13%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 81.6% to Neutral 9.1%, down 72.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.87%▲ 1.77%▲ 0.74%▼ 2.13%
Energy▼ 7.6▲ 47.6▲ 54.2▼ 72.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.87%▲ 1.77%▲ 0.74%▼ 2.13%▼ 7.6▲ 47.6▲ 54.2▼ 72.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.13% — higher than 87% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 72.6 pts — higher than 97% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,963 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,750 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 929 times — 53.1%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 821 times — 46.9%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: 9.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 11.81%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 29.95%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-29 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
81.6%
Bull Extreme
9.1%
Neutral
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD classified as the zone between Bull and Bear energy.

Market energy measurement Market Energy reading dropped -72.6%, moving from 81.6% to 9.1% after the 4H candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -87.1 to +81.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,674.17, down 2.13% from the previous candle (2,732.47). Market Energy was 9.1%, down 72.6 points from 81.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,674.17, down 2.13% from the previous 4H candle (2,732.47). This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,968 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 72.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 81.6% to 9.1%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 81.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Neutral.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 9.1%, ETHUSD is 11.81 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 29.95 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 73.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Neutral, 9.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.7%. ETHUSD energy is currently above DXY by 4.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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