Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,436.06 to 2,444.37, up 0.34%
Market Energy Bull Bias 22.6% to Bull Bias 35.2%, up 12.6 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.66%0.40%0.74%0.34%
Energy14.421.127.512.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.66% 0.40% 0.74% 0.34% 14.4 21.1 27.5 12.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.34% — higher than 29% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.6 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,890 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,613 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 618 times38.3%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 995 times61.7%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 35.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 24.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 14.33%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-17 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
22.6%
Bull Bias
35.2%
Bull Bias
Expected at
19:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

ETHUSD recorded in the Bull Bias energy level as the 4H candle ended.

On the measurement side, Market Energy moved from 22.6% to 35.2%, up +12.6% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.6 to +61.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,444.37, up 0.34% from the previous candle (2,436.06). Market Energy was 35.2%, up 12.6 points from 22.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,444.37, up 0.34% from the previous 4H candle (2,436.06). This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,894 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 22.6% to 35.2%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 22.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 35.2%, ETHUSD is 24.79 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 14.33 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.2%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 35.2%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 91.4%. ETHUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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