Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,498.62 to 2,474.3, down 0.97%
Market Energy Bear Bias -52.0% to Bear Extreme -80.6%, down 28.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.26%0.95%0.68%0.97%
Energy43.148.964.628.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.26% 0.95% 0.68% 0.97% 43.1 48.9 64.6 28.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.97% — higher than 65% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 28.7 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,877 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 570 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 570 times100%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -80.62%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 6.12%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 19.38%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-52.0%
Bear Bias
-80.6%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
19:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The extreme Bear energy level determined for ETHUSD through the 4H candle data.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Compared to the previous candle (-52%), Market Energy dropped -28.7% to -80.6%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -80.6 to +61.5.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,474.3, down 0.97% from the previous candle (2,498.62). Market Energy was -80.6%, down 28.7 points from -52%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,474.3, down 0.97% from the previous 4H candle (2,498.62). This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,882 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 28.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -52% to -80.6%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -52%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -80.6%, ETHUSD is 6.12 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 19.38 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -98.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -96%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Extreme, -80.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 59.3%. ETHUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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