Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,509.21 to 2,508.48, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Bias 33.8% to Neutral 18.4%, down 15.4 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.45%0.42%0.57%0.03%
Energy26.654.417.815.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.45% 0.42% 0.57% 0.03% 26.6 54.4 17.8 15.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 3% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 15.4 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,873 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-13
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,742 times

When ETHUSD is in Neutral:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 924 times53%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 818 times47%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 18.43%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 2.45%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 39.31%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
33.8%
Bull Bias
18.4%
Neutral
Expected at
03:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD within Neutral.

Market energy movement Energy delta -15.4%: Market Energy at 18.4%, previously 33.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -46.9 to +51.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,508.48, down 0.03% from the previous candle (2,509.21). Market Energy was 18.4%, down 15.4 points from 33.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,508.48, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (2,509.21). This drop is larger than 3% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,878 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 15.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 33.8% to 18.4%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 33.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 18.4%, ETHUSD is 2.45 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 39.31 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -25.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 14.6%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Neutral, 18.4%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 85.7%. ETHUSD energy is currently below DXY by 67.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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