Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,506.02 to 2,477.1, down 1.15%
Market Energy Neutral -7.2% to Bear Bias -29.4%, down 22.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.47%0.41%0.60%1.15%
Energy64.58.331.322.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.47% 0.41% 0.60% 1.15% 64.5 8.3 31.3 22.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.15% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.2 pts — higher than 77% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,872 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-13
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 1,489 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 978 times65.7%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 511 times34.3%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -29.39%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 8.51%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.61%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-7.2%
Neutral
-29.4%
Bear Bias
Expected at
11:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD noted at the Bear Bias level.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -22.2% from the previous session, from -7.2% to -29.4%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -46.9 to +44.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,477.1, down 1.15% from the previous candle (2,506.02). Market Energy was -29.4%, down 22.2 points from -7.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,477.1, down 1.15% from the previous 4H candle (2,506.02). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,874 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -7.2% to -29.4%. This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -7.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -29.4%, ETHUSD is 8.51 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 30.61 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Bias, -29.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. ETHUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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