Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,539.49 to 2,516.43, down 0.91%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.9% to Bull Bias 30.7%, down 10.2 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.37%4.11%0.78%0.91%
Energy1.953.93.810.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.37% 4.11% 0.78% 0.91% 1.9 53.9 3.8 10.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.91% — higher than 62% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.2 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,860 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,611 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 618 times38.4%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 993 times61.6%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 30.67%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 29.33%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 9.79%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-11 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
40.9%
Bull Bias
30.7%
Bull Bias
Expected at
11:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle completes, ETHUSD classified as the Bull Bias zone.

The market energy reading Market Energy moved from 40.9% to 30.7%, down -10.2% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -52.3 to +51.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 12-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,516.43, down 0.91% from the previous candle (2,539.49). Market Energy was 30.7%, down 10.2 points from 40.9%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,516.43, down 0.91% from the previous 4H candle (2,539.49). This drop is larger than 62% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,862 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40.9% to 30.7%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 40.9%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 30.7%, ETHUSD is 29.33 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 9.79 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 51.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 30.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -56.1%. ETHUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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