Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,518.18 to 2,507.51, down 0.42%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 99.9% to Bull Extreme 94.7%, down 5.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.36%4.54%0.06%0.42%
Energy8.397.13.25.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.36% 4.54% 0.06% 0.42% 8.3 97.1 3.2 5.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.42% — higher than 38% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.1 pts — higher than 31% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,856 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 684 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 684 times100%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 94.73%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 5.27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 20.23%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-09-03 20:00 UTC
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Market Energy
99.9%
Bull Extreme
94.7%
Bull Extreme
90.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD reflects Bull in Extreme state.

The ETHUSD market at session end, Energy delta -5.1%: Market Energy at 94.7%, previously 99.9%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -69.6 to +99.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,507.51, down 0.42% from the previous candle (2,518.18). Market Energy was 94.7%, down 5.1 points from 99.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,507.51, down 0.42% from the previous 4H candle (2,518.18). This drop is larger than 38% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,814 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 99.9% to 94.7%. This drop is larger than 31% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at 99.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 94.7%, ETHUSD is 5.27 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 20.23 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 75.3%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Extreme, 94.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -63.5%. ETHUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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