Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,435.69 to 2,442.8, up 0.29%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -77.2% to Bear Critical -70.8%, up 6.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.35%1.33%1.46%0.29%
Energy10.745.833.46.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.35% 1.33% 1.46% 0.29% 10.7 45.8 33.4 6.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.29% — higher than 26% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.5 pts — higher than 38% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ETHUSD 4H

Sample: 19,861 4H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 872 times

When ETHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 635 times72.8%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 237 times27.2%

Current ETHUSD market energy: -70.79%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 10.79%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 3.71%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H4 · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-77.2%
Bear Extreme
-70.8%
Bear Critical
-69.2%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, ETHUSD within the near-extreme Bear energy state.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy rose +6.5% from the previous session, from -77.2% to -70.8%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -77.2 to +67.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 03:00 on 29-08-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,442.8, up 0.29% from the previous candle (2,435.69). Market Energy was -70.8%, up 6.5 points from -77.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,442.8, up 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (2,435.69). This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 16,778 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -77.2% to -70.8%. This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had ETHUSD at -77.2%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -70.8%, ETHUSD is 10.79 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 3.71 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.4%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Critical, -70.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 90.3%. ETHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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