Analysis

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Price and energy
ETHUSD from 2,422.61 to 2,406.77, down 0.65%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.6% to Bull Bias 44.4%, down 24.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.03%0.67%0.65%
Energy35.911.236.424.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.03% 0.67% 0.65% 35.9 11.2 36.4 24.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.65% — higher than 76% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 24.2 pts — higher than 79% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias ETHUSD 1H

Sample: 79,470 1H candles from 2017-08-17 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 6,607 times

When ETHUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,433 times36.8%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 4,174 times63.2%

Current ETHUSD market energy: 44.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 15.58%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 23.54%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · H1 · 2026-09-16 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
68.6%
Bull Critical
44.4%
Bull Bias
Expected at
21:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 1H candle, ETHUSD reflects Bull Bias.

Observing the ETHUSD market this session, Market Energy reading dropped -24.2%, moving from 68.6% to 44.4% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.3 to +98.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, ETHUSD was at 2,406.77, down 0.65% from the previous candle (2,422.61). Market Energy was 44.4%, down 24.2 points from 68.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,406.77, down 0.65% from the previous 1H candle (2,422.61). This drop is larger than 76% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD, across 67,513 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 24.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.6% to 44.4%. This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had ETHUSD at 68.6%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, ETHUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 44.4%, ETHUSD is 15.58 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 23.54 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 67.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bull Bias, 44.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 51.9%. ETHUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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