Analysis

ETHUSD 2,421.6 ↓3.06%: Bears very strong · D Oct 14, 2026

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Candle open
Price and energy
Open 2,497.94 · High 2,530.44 · Low 2,403.69 · Close 2,421.6 · Range (high − low) 126.75
ETHUSD closed at 2,421.6, down 76.35 (-3.06%) from 2,497.95.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -65.0% to Bear Critical at -66.9%, down 2.0 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price2,536.92,447.22,4982,421.6
Energy-70.2%-78.3%-65.0%-66.9%
Price change↑ 1.21%↓ 3.54%↑ 2.08%↓ 3.06%
Energy change↑ 9.9↓ 8.0↑ 13.3↓ 2.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.21%↓ 3.54%↑ 2.08%↓ 3.06%↑ 9.9↓ 8.0↑ 13.3↓ 2.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.06% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.0 pts — higher than 11% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical ETHUSD Daily

Sample: 3,348 Daily candles from 2017-08-18 to 2026-10-17
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 140 times

▸When ETHUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then ETHUSD moved to higher Market State: 98 times — 70%
  • then ETHUSD moved to lower Market State: 42 times — 30%

▸Current ETHUSD market energy: -66.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.94%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.56%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

ETHUSD · D1 · 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live ETHUSD chart →
Market Energy
-65.0%
Bear Critical
-66.9%
Bear Critical
-51.2%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the Daily candle just closed, ETHUSD noted at Bear Critical.

At the Daily session close, Market trend energy recorded a -2% drop from the previous candle, from -65% to -66.9%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, ETHUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.5 to -65.

Frequently asked questions

What did ETHUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 14-10-2026, ETHUSD was at 2,421.6, down 3.06% from the previous candle (2,497.95). Market Energy was -66.9%, down 2.0 points from -65%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did ETHUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

ETHUSD closed at 2,421.6, down 3.06% from the previous Daily candle (2,497.95). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ETHUSD, across 2,844 candles since 2019.

How did ETHUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -65% to -66.9%. This drop is larger than 11% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for ETHUSD.

Do ETHUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was ETHUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had ETHUSD at -65%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does ETHUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.9%, ETHUSD is 6.94 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.56 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -18.9%. Against this backdrop, ETHUSD (Bear Critical, -66.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -65.7%. ETHUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for ETHUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for ETHUSD on the ETHUSD overview →

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