Analysis

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Price and energy
DXY Index from 98.768 to 98.803 points, up 0.04%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -83.9% to Bear Extreme -76.5%, up 7.4 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.12%0.14%0.03%0.04%
Energy0.17.26.27.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.12% 0.14% 0.03% 0.04% 0.1 7.2 6.2 7.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.04% — higher than 38% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.4 pts — higher than 38% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme DXY Index 4H

Sample: 180 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 8 times

When DXY Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then DXY Index moved to higher Market State: 8 times100%
  • then DXY Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current DXY Index market energy: -76.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.98%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.52%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DXY · H4 · 2026-09-04 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-83.9%
Bear Extreme
-76.5%
Bear Extreme
-38.0%
Bear Bias
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, DXY Index noted at the Bear Extreme energy zone.

On the energy side, Compared to the previous candle (-83.9%), Market Energy rose +7.4% to -76.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 6 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DXY Index Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to +96.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DXY Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, DXY Index was at 98.803, up 0.04% from the previous candle (98.768). Market Energy was -76.5%, up 7.4 points from -83.9%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did DXY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DXY closed at 98.803, up 0.04% from the previous 4H candle (98.768). This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DXY, across 156 candles since 2019.

How did DXY Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -83.9% to -76.5%. This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DXY.

Do DXY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DXY Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DXY Index at -83.9%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does DXY Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.5%, DXY Index is 1.98 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.52 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.4%. Against this backdrop, DXY Index (Bear Extreme, -76.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DXY Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DXY on the DXY Index overview →

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