Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
DOTUSD from 1.171 to 1.169, down 0.17%
Market Energy Bull Bias 50.5% to Bull Critical 74.0%, up 23.5 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 2.52%▼ 2.19%▲ 5.12%▼ 0.17%
Energy▲ 31.1▲ 2.2▲ 96.2▲ 23.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 2.52%▼ 2.19%▲ 5.12%▼ 0.17%▲ 31.1▲ 2.2▲ 96.2▲ 23.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.17% — higher than 10% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 23.5 pts — higher than 82% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical DOTUSD 4H

Sample: 13,365 4H candles from 2020-08-19 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 556 times

▸When DOTUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then DOTUSD moved to higher Market State: 160 times — 28.8%
  • then DOTUSD moved to lower Market State: 396 times — 71.2%

▸Current DOTUSD market energy: 73.97%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 0.53%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 13.97%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

DOTUSD · H4 · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
50.5%
Bull Bias
74.0%
Bull Critical
Expected at
07:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, DOTUSD within Bull energy near extreme.

On trend energy, Energy delta +23.5%: Market Energy at 74%, previously 50.5%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOTUSD Market Energy ranged from -93.7 to +88.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 23:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, DOTUSD was at 1.169, down 0.17% from the previous candle (1.171). Market Energy was 74%, up 23.5 points from 50.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did DOTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOTUSD closed at 1.169, down 0.17% from the previous 4H candle (1.171). This drop is larger than 10% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD, across 13,366 candles since 2019.

How did DOTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 23.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 50.5% to 74%. This rise is larger than 82% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOTUSD.

Do DOTUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved down while energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was DOTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOTUSD at 50.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, DOTUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does DOTUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 74%, DOTUSD is 0.53 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 13.97 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 32%. Against this backdrop, DOTUSD (Bull Critical, 74%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 16.3%. DOTUSD energy is currently above DXY by 57.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOTUSD on the DOTUSD overview →

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