Analysis

COTTON 0.83326 ↓0.08%: Bears very strong · 1H 15:00 Oct 21, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.83366 · High 0.83481 · Low 0.83296 · Close 0.83326 · Range (high − low) 0.00185
COTTON closed at 0.83326, down 0.000625 (-0.07%) from 0.83389.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -30.9% to Bear Critical at -60.5%, down 29.6 points.
Fourth straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.836410.834140.833890.83326
Energy51.4%6.5%-30.9%-60.5%
Price change↓ 0.01%↓ 0.27%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.07%
Energy change↓ 4.9↓ 44.9↓ 37.4↓ 29.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.01%↓ 0.27%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.07%↓ 4.9↓ 44.9↓ 37.4↓ 29.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 27% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 29.6 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COTTON 1H

Sample: 43,173 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,451 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Critical:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,027 times — 70.8%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 424 times — 29.2%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -60.49%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.01%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-10-21 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-30.9%
Bear Bias
-60.5%
Bear Critical
-41.8%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, COTTON recorded in the Bear Critical level.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -29.6% this candle, currently -60.5% (previous candle -30.9%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -82.1 to 95.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 15:00 on 21-10-2026, COTTON was at 0.83326, down 0.08% from the previous candle (0.83389). Market Energy was -60.5%, down 29.6 points from -30.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.83326, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (0.83389). This drop is larger than 27% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,841 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 29.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -30.9% to -60.5%. This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -30.9%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.5%, COTTON is 0.49 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.01 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -49.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Critical, -60.5%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -36.4%. COTTON (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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