Analysis

COTTON 0.8302 ↓0.34%: Bears have the edge · 1H 15:00 Oct 14, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.8331 · High 0.8331 · Low 0.82925 · Close 0.8302 · Range (high − low) 0.00385
COTTON closed at 0.8302, down 0.00285 (-0.34%) from 0.83305.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -22.6% to Bear Bias at -59.8%, down 37.2 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.835650.833450.833050.8302
Energy50.9%8.1%-22.6%-59.8%
Price change↑ 0.01%↓ 0.26%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.34%
Energy change↓ 13.0↓ 42.7↓ 30.8↓ 37.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.01%↓ 0.26%↓ 0.05%↓ 0.34%↓ 13.0↓ 42.7↓ 30.8↓ 37.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.34% — higher than 78% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 37.2 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 1H

Sample: 43,236 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,237 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 2,138 times — 66%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 1,099 times — 34%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -59.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 38.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 0.16%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COTTON chart →
Market Energy
-22.6%
Bear Bias
-59.8%
Bear Bias
-62.6%
Bear Critical
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, Market Energy of COTTON indicates the Bear Bias state.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -37.2% from the previous candle, from -22.6% to -59.8%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -66.9 to 86.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 15:00 on 14-10-2026, COTTON was at 0.8302, down 0.34% from the previous candle (0.83305). Market Energy was -59.8%, down 37.2 points from -22.6%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8302, down 0.34% from the previous 1H candle (0.83305). This drop is larger than 78% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,751 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 37.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -22.6% to -59.8%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at -22.6%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -59.8%, COTTON is 38.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 0.16 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 1.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.8%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -59.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.6%. COTTON (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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