Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.8448 to 0.8405, down 0.51%
Market Energy Neutral 12.8% to Bear Bias -30.9%, down 43.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.11%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.22%▼ 0.51%
Energy▼ 7.2▲ 7.5▼ 3.7▼ 43.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.11%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.22%▼ 0.51%▼ 7.2▲ 7.5▼ 3.7▼ 43.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.51% — higher than 88% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 43.7 pts — higher than 94% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,882 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 3,195 times

▸When COTTON is in Bear Bias:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 2,109 times — 66%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 1,086 times — 34%

▸Current COTTON market energy: -30.91%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 10.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.09%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-28 11:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
12.8%
Neutral
-30.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, COTTON recorded in energy leaning Bear.

Observing the COTTON market this session, Market Energy dropped -43.7% from the previous candle, from 12.8% to -30.9%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -93.5 to +74.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.8405, down 0.51% from the previous candle (0.8448). Market Energy was -30.9%, down 43.7 points from 12.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8405, down 0.51% from the previous 1H candle (0.8448). This drop is larger than 88% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,539 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 43.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 12.8% to -30.9%. This drop is larger than 94% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at 12.8%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COTTON moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.9%, COTTON is 10.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.09 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -41.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -35.3%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Bear Bias, -30.9%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4%. COTTON energy is currently below DXY by 26.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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