Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COTTON from 0.84665 to 0.8448, down 0.22%
Market Energy Neutral 16.6% to Neutral 12.8%, down 3.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.22%▼ 0.11%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.22%
Energy▼ 9.6▼ 7.2▲ 7.5▼ 3.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.22%▼ 0.11%▲ 0.21%▼ 0.22%▼ 9.6▼ 7.2▲ 7.5▼ 3.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.22% — higher than 61% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 3.7 pts — higher than 32% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COTTON 1H

Sample: 42,886 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-28
Number of Neutral occurrences: 3,985 times

▸When COTTON is in Neutral:

  • then COTTON moved to higher Market State: 1,984 times — 49.8%
  • then COTTON moved to lower Market State: 2,001 times — 50.2%

▸Current COTTON market energy: 12.82%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 8.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 33.7%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

COTTON · H1 · 2026-09-28 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
16.6%
Neutral
12.8%
Neutral
Expected at
19:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

The balanced Bull/Bear state recorded from just-completed 1H candle data for COTTON.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy dropped -3.7% from the previous candle, from 16.6% to 12.8%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 4 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COTTON Market Energy ranged from -93.5 to +74.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COTTON price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, COTTON was at 0.8448, down 0.22% from the previous candle (0.84665). Market Energy was 12.8%, down 3.7 points from 16.6%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COTTON price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COTTON closed at 0.8448, down 0.22% from the previous 1H candle (0.84665). This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON, across 34,538 candles since 2019.

How did COTTON Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 3.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 16.6% to 12.8%. This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COTTON.

Do COTTON price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COTTON in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COTTON at 16.6%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COTTON energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 12.8%, COTTON is 8.06 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 33.7 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48%. Against this backdrop, COTTON (Neutral, 12.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 4.1%. COTTON energy is currently above DXY by 8.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COTTON.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COTTON on the COTTON overview →

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