Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COFFEE from 2.8399 to 2.9126, up 2.56%
Market Energy Neutral -12.7% to Bull Extreme 79.8%, up 92.5 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 1.81%▼ 1.31%▲ 0.73%▲ 2.56%
Energy▼ 24.5▼ 84.3▲ 12.1▲ 92.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 1.81%▼ 1.31%▲ 0.73%▲ 2.56%▼ 24.5▼ 84.3▲ 12.1▲ 92.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 2.56% — higher than 83% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 92.5 pts — higher than 97% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme COFFEE 4H

Sample: 98 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 4 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bull Extreme:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 100%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: 79.81%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 20.19%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 5.31%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H4 · 2026-10-02 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-12.7%
Neutral
79.8%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, COFFEE noted at the Bull Extreme state.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market trend energy recorded a +92.5% rise from the previous candle, from -12.7% to 79.8%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -24.8 to +84.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, COFFEE was at 2.9126, up 2.56% from the previous candle (2.8399). Market Energy was 79.8%, up 92.5 points from -12.7%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.9126, up 2.56% from the previous 4H candle (2.8399). This rise is larger than 83% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE, across 98 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 92.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -12.7% to 79.8%. This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COFFEE at -12.7%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Extreme.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 79.8%, COFFEE is 20.19 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 5.31 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.6%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bull Extreme, 79.8%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.6%. COFFEE energy is currently above DXY by 91.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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