Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
COFFEE from 2.8568 to 2.8194, down 1.31%
Market Energy Bull Bias 59.5% to Bear Bias -24.8%, down 84.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 2.78%▲ 1.19%▼ 1.81%▼ 1.31%
Energy▲ 16.4▲ 18.6▼ 24.5▼ 84.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 2.78%▲ 1.19%▼ 1.81%▼ 1.31%▲ 16.4▲ 18.6▼ 24.5▼ 84.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.31% — higher than 50% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 84.3 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COFFEE 4H

Sample: 96 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 8 times

▸When COFFEE is in Bear Bias:

  • then COFFEE moved to higher Market State: 6 times — 75%
  • then COFFEE moved to lower Market State: 2 times — 25%

▸Current COFFEE market energy: -24.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.92%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.2%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

COFFEE · H4 · 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
59.5%
Bull Bias
-24.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, COFFEE recorded in the Bear Bias state.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Energy delta -84.3%: Market Energy at -24.8%, previously 59.5%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COFFEE Market Energy ranged from -24.8 to +84.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COFFEE price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 01-10-2026 closed, COFFEE was at 2.8194, down 1.31% from the previous candle (2.8568). Market Energy was -24.8%, down 84.3 points from 59.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COFFEE price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COFFEE closed at 2.8194, down 1.31% from the previous 4H candle (2.8568). This drop is larger than 50% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE, across 96 candles since 2019.

How did COFFEE Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 84.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 59.5% to -24.8%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COFFEE.

Do COFFEE price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COFFEE in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COFFEE at 59.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, COFFEE moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Bias.

Where does COFFEE energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -24.8%, COFFEE is 3.92 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.2 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -28%. Against this backdrop, COFFEE (Bear Bias, -24.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 97.1%. COFFEE (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COFFEE.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COFFEE on the COFFEE overview →

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