Analysis

COCOA 5,623.15 ↓1.52%: Bears have the edge · 4H 00:00 Oct 24, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5,709.15 · High 5,744.15 · Low 5,620.65 · Close 5,623.15 · Range (high − low) 123.5
COCOA closed at 5,623.15, down 87 (-1.52%) from 5,710.15.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at -14.9% to Bear Bias at -37.9%, down 23.0 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5,7185,6735,710.25,623.2
Energy6.0%-28.6%-14.9%-37.9%
Price change↓ 3.61%↓ 0.79%↑ 0.66%↓ 1.52%
Energy change↓ 45.2↓ 34.7↑ 13.7↓ 23.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 3.61%↓ 0.79%↑ 0.66%↓ 1.52%↓ 45.2↓ 34.7↑ 13.7↓ 23.0
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.52% — higher than 55% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 23.0 pts — higher than 63% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias COCOA 4H

Sample: 129 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-23
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 16 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 12 times — 75%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 25%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -37.91%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 17.03%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 22.09%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H4 · 2026-10-23 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-14.9%
Neutral
-37.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, COCOA currently in the Bear Bias energy state.

End-of-session update for 4H, Market Energy at -37.9%, down -23% from -14.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -80.6 to 51.2.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 23-10-2026, COCOA was at 5,623.15, down 1.52% from the previous candle (5,710.15). Market Energy was -37.9%, down 23.0 points from -14.9%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,623.15, down 1.52% from the previous 4H candle (5,710.15). This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COCOA, across 129 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 23 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14.9% to -37.9%. This drop is larger than 63% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COCOA at -14.9%, Neutral — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -37.9%, COCOA is 17.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 22.09 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -74.8%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Bias, -37.9%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -22.1%. COCOA (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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