Analysis

COCOA 5,837.75 ↓1.43%: Bears very strong · 1H 23:00 Oct 14, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 5,921.75 · High 5,930.25 · Low 5,737.75 · Close 5,837.75 · Range (high − low) 192.5
COCOA closed at 5,837.75, down 84.5 (-1.43%) from 5,922.25.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Extreme zone at -79.6% to Bear Critical at -65.7%, up 13.9 points.
Energy diverges from price.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price5,996.85,910.35,922.35,837.8
Energy55.1%-80.6%-79.6%-65.7%
Price change↓ 1.48%↓ 1.44%↑ 0.20%↓ 1.43%
Energy change↓ 41.0↓ 135.7↑ 1.0↑ 13.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.48%↓ 1.44%↑ 0.20%↓ 1.43%↓ 41.0↓ 135.7↑ 1.0↑ 13.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.43% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.9 pts — higher than 59% of past rises
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,991 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 1,009 times

▸When COCOA is in Bear Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 665 times — 65.9%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 344 times — 34.1%

▸Current COCOA market energy: -65.7%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.8%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-79.6%
Bear Extreme
-65.7%
Bear Critical
-70.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, COCOA within the near-extreme Bear energy state.

Observing the COCOA market this session, Market Energy reading rose +13.9%, moving from -79.6% to -65.7% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -89.2 to 100.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 23:00 on 14-10-2026, COCOA was at 5,837.75, down 1.43% from the previous candle (5,922.25). Market Energy was -65.7%, up 13.9 points from -79.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,837.75, down 1.43% from the previous 1H candle (5,922.25). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 19,236 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -79.6% to -65.7%. This rise is larger than 59% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at -79.6%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -65.7%, COCOA is 5.7 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 8.8 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -69.2%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Critical, -65.7%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 96.5%. COCOA (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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