Analysis

·

Price and energy
COCOA from 5,889.4 to 5,873.4, down 0.27%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -98.2% to Bear Extreme -90.5%, up 7.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%2.28%0.61%0.27%
Energy2.675.845.67.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00% 2.28% 0.61% 0.27% 2.6 75.8 45.6 7.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.27% — higher than 44% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 7.7 pts — higher than 42% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,711 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 853 times

When COCOA is in Bear Extreme:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 853 times100%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current COCOA market energy: -90.53%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 16.03%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 9.47%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-09-15 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-98.2%
Bear Extreme
-90.5%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
19:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, COCOA within the extreme Bear energy state.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading rose +7.7%, moving from -98.2% to -90.5% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -98.2 to +79.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,873.4, down 0.27% from the previous candle (5,889.4). Market Energy was -90.5%, up 7.7 points from -98.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,873.4, down 0.27% from the previous 1H candle (5,889.4). This drop is larger than 44% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 19,021 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 7.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -98.2% to -90.5%. This rise is larger than 42% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at -98.2%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -90.5%, COCOA is 16.03 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 9.47 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 39.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.8%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Extreme, -90.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 22.3%. COCOA (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .