Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 5,952.55 to 5,936.05, down 0.28%
Market Energy Neutral -14.0% to Neutral -20.0%, down 6.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.27%0.40%0.26%0.28%
Energy22.54.50.86.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.27% 0.40% 0.26% 0.28% 22.5 4.5 0.8 6.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.28% — higher than 45% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.0 pts — higher than 34% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,711 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-14
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,534 times

When COCOA is in Neutral:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 789 times51.4%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 745 times48.6%

Current COCOA market energy: -20%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 40.88%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 0.88%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-08-18 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-14.0%
Neutral
-20.0%
Neutral
-28.4%
Bear Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, COCOA within Neutral.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -94.9% from the previous session, from 74.9% to -20%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 5 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -53.9 to +87.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 18-08-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,936.05, down 0.28% from the previous candle (5,952.55). Market Energy was -20%, down 6.0 points from -14%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,936.05, down 0.28% from the previous 1H candle (5,952.55). This drop is larger than 45% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA, across 18,840 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -14% to -20%. This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at -14%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -20%, COCOA is 40.88 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 0.88 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -43%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -60.2%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Neutral, -20%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -4.2%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 15.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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