Analysis

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Price and energy
COCOA from 6,031.95 to 5,810.95, down 3.66%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 88.2% to Bear Critical -67.7%, down 155.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.66% — largest on record (since 2019)
Energy down 155.9 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
Volatility trend · last 4 candlespriceenergy
0.710.040.873.663.21.01.1155.9-3-2-1nến này
COCOA hub
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical COCOA 1H

Sample: 19,614 1H candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-08-28
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 988 times

When COCOA is in Bear Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 655 times66.3%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 333 times33.7%

Current COCOA market energy: -67.72%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.72%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 6.78%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H1 · 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
88.2%
Bull Extreme
-67.7%
Bear Critical
-98.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, Market COCOA in Bear energy near extreme.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at -67.7%, down -155.9% from 88.2% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -98.8 to +88.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What state was COCOA on 1H when this candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 16:00 on 16-07-2026 closed, COCOA was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -67.7%, controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 155.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 88.2% to -67.7%.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had COCOA at 88.2%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.7%, COCOA is 7.72 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 6.78 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -83%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bear Critical, -67.7%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -7.7%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 60 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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