Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,485.75 to 5,666.45, up 3.29%
Market Energy Bear Bias -45.8% to Neutral 18.4%, up 64.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 4.57%▼ 0.29%▲ 1.77%▲ 3.29%
Energy▼ 48.4▼ 16.0▲ 28.8▲ 64.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 4.57%▼ 0.29%▲ 1.77%▲ 3.29%▼ 48.4▼ 16.0▲ 28.8▲ 64.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.29% — higher than 87% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 64.3 pts — higher than 93% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,637 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-02
Number of Neutral occurrences: 222 times

▸When COCOA is in Neutral:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 114 times — 51.4%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 108 times — 48.6%

▸Current COCOA market energy: 18.42%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 2.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 39.3%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-10-02 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
-45.8%
Bear Bias
18.4%
Neutral
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, COCOA within balanced trend energy.

End-of-session energy readings on Daily, Market Energy at 18.4%, up +64.3% from -45.8% in the previous candle.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -74.6 to +18.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,666.45, up 3.29% from the previous candle (5,485.75). Market Energy was 18.4%, up 64.3 points from -45.8%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,666.45, up 3.29% from the previous Daily candle (5,485.75). This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,944 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 64.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -45.8% to 18.4%. This rise is larger than 93% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at -45.8%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, COCOA moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Neutral.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 18.4%, COCOA is 2.46 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 39.3 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 12.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.1%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Neutral, 18.4%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.4%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 52 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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