Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,924.55 to 5,853.75, down 1.20%
Market Energy Bull Bias 28.9% to Neutral 17.2%, down 11.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.45%0.56%1.01%1.20%
Energy2.20.810.211.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.45% 0.56% 1.01% 1.20% 2.2 0.8 10.2 11.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.20% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 11.7 pts — higher than 49% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral COCOA Daily

Sample: 2,629 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-09-22
Number of Neutral occurrences: 221 times

When COCOA is in Neutral:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 114 times51.6%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 107 times48.4%

Current COCOA market energy: 17.21%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 3.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 38.09%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · D1 · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
28.9%
Bull Bias
17.2%
Neutral
5.4%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Reading from the Daily candle, COCOA recorded in the neutral energy level between Bull and Bear.

Observing the COCOA market this session, The energy level dropped -11.7%: from 28.9% now at 17.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from +17.2 to +39.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 25-08-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,853.75, down 1.2% from the previous candle (5,924.55). Market Energy was 17.2%, down 11.7 points from 28.9%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did COCOA price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,853.75, down 1.2% from the previous Daily candle (5,924.55). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA, across 1,917 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 11.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 28.9% to 17.2%. This drop is larger than 49% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had COCOA at 28.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, COCOA moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Neutral.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 17.2%, COCOA is 3.67 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 38.09 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 3.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 18%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Neutral, 17.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 33.1%. COCOA energy is currently below DXY by 15.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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