Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
CHFJPY from 189.85 to 189.7845, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bear Bias -23.2% to Bear Bias -39.9%, down 16.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.11%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.03%
Energy▲ 6.9▼ 10.0▼ 34.9▼ 16.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.11%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.12%▼ 0.03%▲ 6.9▼ 10.0▼ 34.9▼ 16.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 28% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.7 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias CHFJPY 4H

Sample: 323 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 22 times

▸When CHFJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 15 times — 68.2%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 31.8%

▸Current CHFJPY market energy: -39.93%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 19.05%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 20.07%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H4 · 2026-10-07 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-23.2%
Bear Bias
-39.9%
Bear Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, CHFJPY reflects the Bear Bias level.

Market trend energy Market Energy reading dropped -16.7%, moving from -23.2% to -39.9% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -39.9 to +32.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 189.7845, down 0.03% from the previous candle (189.85). Market Energy was -39.9%, down 16.7 points from -23.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 189.7845, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (189.85). This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 323 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -23.2% to -39.9%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CHFJPY at -23.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -39.9%, CHFJPY is 19.05 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 20.07 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -67.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.4%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Bias, -39.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 70.7%. CHFJPY (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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