Analysis

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Price and energy
CHFJPY from 197.2785 to 196.99, down 0.15%
Market Energy Bear Bias -49.1% to Bear Critical -69.2%, down 20.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.26%0.08%0.03%0.15%
Energy45.20.64.320.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.26% 0.08% 0.03% 0.15% 45.2 0.6 4.3 20.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.0 pts — higher than 72% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical CHFJPY 4H

Sample: 205 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 6 times

When CHFJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then CHFJPY moved to higher Market State: 4 times66.7%
  • then CHFJPY moved to lower Market State: 2 times33.3%

Current CHFJPY market energy: -69.15%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 9.15%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 5.35%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

CHFJPY · H4 · 2026-09-02 01:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-49.1%
Bear Bias
-69.2%
Bear Critical
-98.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, CHFJPY classified as the Bear Critical zone.

Market energy movement Market Energy dropped -20% from the previous session, from -49.1% to -69.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, CHFJPY Market Energy ranged from -86.8 to +63.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did CHFJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, CHFJPY was at 196.99, down 0.15% from the previous candle (197.2785). Market Energy was -69.2%, down 20.0 points from -49.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did CHFJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

CHFJPY closed at 196.99, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (197.2785). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY, across 174 candles since 2019.

How did CHFJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20 percentage points from the previous candle — from -49.1% to -69.2%. This drop is larger than 72% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for CHFJPY.

Do CHFJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was CHFJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had CHFJPY at -49.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, CHFJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does CHFJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -69.2%, CHFJPY is 9.15 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 5.35 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -64.5%. Against this backdrop, CHFJPY (Bear Critical, -69.2%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 82.5%. CHFJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for CHFJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for CHFJPY on the CHFJPY overview →

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