Analysis

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Price and energy
DOGEUSD from 0.08598 to 0.08535, down 0.73%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -75.9% to Bear Critical -73.0%, up 2.9 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowEnergy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price2.14%1.00%0.21%0.73%
Energy45.11.57.02.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
2.14% 1.00% 0.21% 0.73% 45.1 1.5 7.0 2.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.73% — higher than 47% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 2.9 pts — higher than 22% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical DOGEUSD 4H

Sample: 15,739 4H candles from 2019-07-05 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 302 times

When DOGEUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then DOGEUSD moved to higher Market State: 238 times78.8%
  • then DOGEUSD moved to lower Market State: 64 times21.2%

Current DOGEUSD market energy: -73%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.5%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

DOGEUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 04:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-75.9%
Bear Extreme
-73.0%
Bear Critical
Expected at
19:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, DOGEUSD shows the near-peak Bear energy state.

Looking at the energy level, A +2.9% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -73% (previous: -75.9%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, DOGEUSD Market Energy ranged from -82.9 to +61.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did DOGEUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 11:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, DOGEUSD was at 0.08535, down 0.73% from the previous candle (0.08598). Market Energy was -73%, up 2.9 points from -75.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did DOGEUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

DOGEUSD closed at 0.08535, down 0.73% from the previous 4H candle (0.08598). This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for DOGEUSD, across 15,739 candles since 2019.

How did DOGEUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 2.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -75.9% to -73%. This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for DOGEUSD.

Do DOGEUSD price and energy agree?

No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was DOGEUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had DOGEUSD at -75.9%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, DOGEUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does DOGEUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73%, DOGEUSD is 13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.5 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.2%. Against this backdrop, DOGEUSD (Bear Critical, -73%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -17.4%. DOGEUSD energy is currently below DXY by 55.6 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for DOGEUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for DOGEUSD on the DOGEUSD overview →

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