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| Price | ▼ 1.64% | ▼ 0.01% | ▼ 0.48% | ▼ 0.34% |
| Energy | ▼ 46.2 | ▼ 18.0 | ▲ 5.1 | ▲ 11.0 |
Trend of Bear Critical BTCUSD 4H
▸When BTCUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then BTCUSD moved to higher Market State: 661 times — 74.4%
- then BTCUSD moved to lower Market State: 227 times — 25.6%
▸Current BTCUSD market energy: -74.49%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 14.49%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.01%
"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING
As the 4H candle closes, BTCUSD noted at the near-extreme Bear energy zone.
The energy side shows Market Energy rose +11% from the previous candle, from -85.5% to -74.5%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, BTCUSD Market Energy ranged from -90.6 to +89.9.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did BTCUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 19:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, BTCUSD was at 83,454.24, down 0.34% from the previous candle (83,740.15). Market Energy was -74.5%, up 11.0 points from -85.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did BTCUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
BTCUSD closed at 83,454.24, down 0.34% from the previous 4H candle (83,740.15). This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD, across 17,132 candles since 2019.
How did BTCUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 11 percentage points from the previous candle — from -85.5% to -74.5%. This rise is larger than 57% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for BTCUSD.
Do BTCUSD price and energy agree?
No. On this candle price fell but energy rose — the two moved in opposite directions. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was BTCUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had BTCUSD at -85.5%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, BTCUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.
Where does BTCUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -74.5%, BTCUSD is 14.49 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.01 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -81.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72.6%. Against this backdrop, BTCUSD (Bear Critical, -74.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 80.6%. BTCUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for BTCUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for BTCUSD on the BTCUSD overview →
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